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Searching for the Parallel Growth of Cities

Id：2175 Date：20131014 Status：published ClickTimes：
作者Zhihong Chen, Shihe Fu, Dayong Zhang
正文Based on the parallel growth implications of the four urban growth theories (endogenous growth theory, random growth theory, hybrid growth theory, and locational fundamentals theory), this paper uses the Chinese city size data from 1984-2006 and time series econometric techniques to test for parallel growth. The results from various types of stationarity tests show that city growth is generally random. Conditioning on growth trend and structural change, certain groups of cities with common location-specific characteristics, such as similar natural resource endowment or policy regime, grow parallel in the long run, suggesting that locational fundamentals may have persistent impact on city growth.
JEL-Codes：C22; R11; R12
关键词：Urban growth; Parallel growth; Zipf's law; Locational fundamentals; Structural change
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